Ultimately, it is up to the individual golfer to experiment with different strategies and see what works best for them in windy conditions. Bill Haas (1.685 sg:wind vs. 1.341 sg:total) An event taking place on a difficult course? This is all I can do. DJ 13. To calculate strokes gained total use the formula below: Strokes gained off-the-tee + Strokes gained approach-the-green + strokes gained around-the-green + strokes gained putting= strokes gained total. But, yeah, I was pretty comfortable going out there today, knowing it was going to be tricky. Used the off weeks to just work on that and felt like I was in a good place; it paid off. You can find anexplainer on those metrics here. You get a lot of days like this where its blowing. Strokes Gained can help golfers achieve this by providing them with the information they need to make the correct shot selection. Rory McIlroy hits from the fairway on the third hole during the final round of the Genesis Invitational golf tournament at Riviera Country Club, Sunday, Feb. 19, 2023, in the Pacific Palisades area of Los Angeles. Its a field of the Tours most exciting and talented players, ranging from betting favorite Jon Rahm to former winners Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler. Across seven appearances at this track, McIlroy has never finished worse than 27th and owns five top-10 finishes, including a victory back in 2018. Brandon Harkins (-0.042 sg:wind vs. 0.803 sg:total) Have a wonderful evening! Jordan Spieth (2.153 sg:total) PATRICK REED: I am from Texas. We know the prowess with the irons. Having a reliable sand wedge to dig out of bunkers will be imperative for a lot of players throughout the windy conditions at Bay Hill this weekend. Great article btw. -2017 Masters, Q. So its not that I love it; but I tend to do a little bit better on it. You still have to be on. Unless otherwise noted, strokes gained stats are taken from the player's last 50 rounds and are a way to use golf statistics relative to the field and round played. Collin Morikawa 6. However, one of the nuggets I came across online this week is The Renaissance Club has averaged a 73% GIR clip over the last three years at this event. Thats just the bottom line. You have to hit the ball pretty straight to stay out of the native area, whatever you want to call it, dont go into it. Arnold Palmer . I feel like a decent wind player so thats kind of always an issue at this course it seems like. -2017 Nine Bridges, Q. Strokes Gained is now available in the FantasyLabs PGA Models. Bud Cauley (0.964 sg:wind vs. 1.37 sg:total) Weve seen over the past few weeks how important putting well on Bentgrass greens have been. J.T. There is no one definitive answer to this question. Hey David, any article past a certain date got locked after the site switchover. Thats just the way it is. Alex Cejka (1.107 sg:wind vs. 0.689 sg:total) So I was really struggling with that. He can crack the driver, averaging 306 yards per attempt, so hes built for success at Bay Hill. Small, firm, and fast greens combined with high winds typically results in a great deal of frustration for players. My expertise is working with everyone from beginners to pros, We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites. can attack in the wind despite their high ball flight. your ability to handle the wind here and that type of thing? Haha all about consistency. Ive played enough golf through the years now to know my game suits kind of windy, tough conditions. Daniel Berger (1.901 sg:total) Realign and repeat, but the 2nd time begin by pointing into the wind the amount you drifted the first time. Q. Jason Day 5. IAN POULTER: Yeah, I definitely think, for me, I like the way the golf course sets up in the wind. I just stopped looking at . (MA), FanDuel Promo Code: Grab a $1K First Bet for Wednesdays CBB, NBA Action, NBA DFS Picks Breakdown (Wednesday, Mar. Mitchell also possesses an accurate driver, allowing him to find the fairway and outpace others in his group, giving him the best approach shot for birdie opportunities. You have to make sure trying to hit the fairways. This is the first round of golf Ive played with them. ZACH JOHNSON: Yeah, Ive always, I guess, thrived on wind. Pingback: Culps Corner: WGC-Match Play Preview | YouRulz. Let's get on with it! Nick Taylor (1.296 sg:wind vs. 0.856 sg:total) Do you like the windy conditions? JORDAN SPIETH: I have the last couple years. I dont know if its because playing in the UK, playing in Scotland and England and how windy it can get there and how creative you have to be when it gets windy. Are you a mudder? 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions 13th - proximity over the last 36 rounds played 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played Awful, right? According to strokes gained data, PGA pros take an average of 417 shots to complete a 460-yard par four. Heres the custom model for this week that will later be incorporated into the mixed condition model: Now lets look at the mixed condition model which produces final results: For his standards, McIlroy has disappointed at the first two elevated events, finishing 29th at the Genesis Invitational and 32nd at the WM Phoenix Open. Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and commentary in this post belong to its author and do not necessarily represent the Tour Junkies as a whole. Top 10 in strokes gained ball striking in windy to very windy conditions: 1. -2018 U.S. Open, Q. Youre the only player thats obviously won each of the tournaments in Texas. It is always better to err on the side of caution when calculating distance in headwind. Obviously Ive had a lot of practice growing up in Scotland. Like I said, it seems like a fun layout. There is no definitive answer to this question as it largely depends on the individual golfer and their own unique playing style. Pingback: 2017 Open Championship DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. How much of an advantage or how much confidence does it give you against the field when youre 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played Jon Rahm (2.491 sg:total) High-end target: Jon Rahm $11,200 (1st Total Strokes Gained: Windy Conditions The chalk hit this week, so that doesn't bode too well for this series. The worlds best players will tee it up this week at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma to compete for the Wanamaker Trophy. GRAYSON MURRAY: The wind bothers me when Im hitting it like I did last week when Im not compressing the ball. Oklahoma golf is also known to get extremely windy, and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week. We also know that slow greens (The Renaissance Club will run about a 10 on the stimp) will hide a lot of the flaws of the poor putters. Tommy Fleetwood (2.461 sg:total) I enjoy playing in it. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero). This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. Do you play well in the bad conditions? Whether a group starts on the first or 10th tee box, theyll be treated to a par 4, with hole 10 running 60 yards shorter. Plus, hes first in the field regarding SG: TOT at difficult setups. For comparison, he lost .253 strokes per round last year and ranked . Wind page is now updated. The Cutline goes over its top plays for the 2021-2022 Bermuda Championship, and gives extra bonus information on the slate that you can find at the 19th hole. Webb Simpson (2.235 sg:total) The Bermuda putting surfaces have played "lightning" fast in every round since 2017. But I think its just a great layout for the predominant wind you get here off the ocean, you get a lot of crosswinds and I tend to play well in the wind so I think thats kind of why it fits my game. Playing golf for a living is a blessing, and the family loves me, so everything is good. That tells when you youre hitting it good. Patrick Reed: I definitely can hit it low if I need to. Sign up to have weekly research, analytics and other funny sh-crap sent directly to your inbox. However, the general consensus is BRIAN HARMAN: I switched golf balls, and its made a huge difference. However, the general consensus is that it can give golfers a significant edge, especially if they are able to control their ball flight. Join Now! It doesnt look like they have a golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL. Branden Grace (1.168 sg:wind vs. 1.511 sg:total) Shawn Stefani (1.133 sg:wind vs. 0.784 sg:total) It played as the third hardest course on the PGA Tour schedule, including the majors. Stats are time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition. DeChambeau 6. Anirban Lahiri ($7,800) | T51. Can you tell us what about this course suits your eye? -2017 Valero, Q. You talk about sticking with your game plan. The TifEagle Bermudagrass greens are designed to run fast, measuring up to 13 feet via the Stimpmeter. 1): Top Model Picks and Value Plays on DraftKings and FanDuel, Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings, PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, PGA Championship DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values. A player with a 100 Index would have a Course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes. Looks like conditions suit me. Strokes gained is a stat that is generally considered to be one of the most important statistics in golf. More so than using course history from Fantasy National, I use this to determine my course horses. So I worked through it on Monday and thats probably why I played well today just because that gave me confidence that Im now compressing the ball. Omada golf trilite foldable golf push cart. Wesley Bryan (-0.48 sg:wind vs. 0.336 sg:total) Will Zalatoris. Thanks for the heads up on comments lol. Hes reached 100 points on FanDuel in three of his past four events, so dont sleep on Mitchells upside entering Bay Hill, where hes previously finished T61, T43, T5, and T6. 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played. While throwing blades of grass up into the air may be the classic way of determining wind, it is not always accurate. Its obviously great food and great people here, so its always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play. Scottie Scheffler 3. Trahan (0.598 sg:wind vs. 0.229 sg:total) When I went to A&M we played in very tough conditions a lot, so I love the wind. Keith Mitchell: $9,700 Thank you. Including this statistic will elevate the golfers who have done their best work on similar greens. Being a good wind player, you see the forecast, does it give you a little lift before going out? Phil Mickelson (2.253 sg:total) Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers PDRAIG HARRINGTON: Its a very difficult golf course but I think I like the conditions that we play in. I enjoy it, Patrick does, too. The Fantasy Golfanac considers windy rounds to be any round where the average wind is at least 14 mph for the day. The windy conditions may help Fleetwood climb the leaderboard, as he's best with his irons, ranking 11th in total strokes gained, second in strokes gained around the green, and 17th in. Im 9. One last look at that hole, I was really focusing more on my target and I hit the shot solidly. I hit it really high. Last year's conditions here were so windy and firm that some pros even claimed the conditions were unfair. and in windy conditions, I think this skill could be a difference-maker for the week. T17, T10, and T24 finishes in his previous three appearances suggest that we may see Homa atop the leaderboard at some point this weekend, so dont miss out and add him into as many DFS lineups as possible ahead of Thursdays opening round. Thank you. Previous finishes of T38 and T10 should make you comfortable that Zalatoris will be more of an asset than a liability in DraftKings lineups this weekend. Ryan Blaum (0.288 sg:wind vs. 0.715 sg:total) Stay the course and the results will manifest later in the event, keeping your lineups from dropping out of the green and ultimately cashing the contest. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Star-studded fields in PGA Tour events often equate to massive value opportunities for acquiring good players at a fraction of the cost in DFS lineups. Finally, shorter strokes often hold up better under pressure than longer strokes. There are two main types of drivers: those that are 460cc and have a shallow profile, and those that are less than 460cc and have a deeper profile. I love playing in this stuff. Does Anti-specialist mean they are bad wind players? 32-year-old Max Homa already has two outright wins tucked under his belt this season, starting at Fortinet in September and out-dueling Jon Rahm at the Farmers Insurance Open to storm back and win the event on Sunday. Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:wind vs. 2.149 sg:total) Nut Hut Members Have Won Over $3.9 Million Since June 2020! Tom Lovelady (-0.011 sg:wind vs. 0.312 sg:total) Justin Thomas spoke after playing a practice round at Southern Hills and said: Its tough to chip. . Expected Strokes Gained= baseline performance for all round (adjusted to strength of field). Im just showing the data. Burns has improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round. Pingback: 2017 U.S. Open DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. Some golfers are able to make small adjustments that allow them to hit the ball straighter and closer to their target, while others may find that the wind disrupts their swing so much that they end up losing strokes. CAMERON SMITH: Im from Australia. Q. James Hahn (0.639 sg:wind vs. 1.001 sg:total) Awful, right? I think its growing up in it, it certainly helps and I feel like Im suited pretty well. -2018 Honda. Odds come courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflective at time of writing. He will win before this season ends. Ted Potter, Jr. (0.095 sg:wind vs. 0.417 sg:total), J.B. HOLMES: I knew that it was going to get really windy in the afternoon and thats what the weather had said. When you go back to midsummer and what youve been able to do since midsummer last year and into the fall and now this week, has anything changed, or is it just a matter of your games coming together? Thanks in advance. McIIroy 5. So, striping your drive 260 down the middle gains you 0.14 strokes. Your last win was in San Antonio and it can get a little windy in Texas. It appears now that they only let me go and look at the last few previews you wrote. The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. Hideki Matsuyama (2.861 sg:wind vs. 2.408 sg:total) PGAgolfbets has identified the following Key Performance Statistics for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. The 26-year-old native of Louisiana missed the cut at Genesis but hes been solid at Bay Hill, logging previous finishes of T9, MC, T36, T54, and T49. The gap seems to widen as handicaps get higher. The Open Championship Fantasy Preview - Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis - Fantasy Sports - Future Of Fantasy, Hyundai Tournament of Champions Fantasy Preview, https://futureoffantasy.com/performance-in-cold-weather, https://futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists. Can you please also refresh the performance in COLD WEATHER please? The second major of the 2022 season has arrived. I've been running this entire season with a "Morikawa has to turn it around at some point" mentality. J.T. Your position? Davis Love III (-0.459 sg:wind vs. 0.012 sg:total) He flashed at the U.S. Open before falling off on Saturday. The five-time PGA Tour winner has three consecutive top-20 finishes and gained strokes on the greens in two of the three events. Just your first impressions about the course? Day 8. He is also a great putter. Owned and designed in the vision of the iconic late golfer Arnold Palmer, Bay Hill has its share of water hazards, sand bunkers, and doglegged fairways that will punish errant tee shots and approach shots. D.J. Patrick Cantlay 10. Approach shots are a very important part of the game of golf. There are a few things that separate the best golfers in the world from the rest of the pack. The wind is going to howl: . -2017 Valero, Q. Can we agree that this has been a "poor" season for Morikawa, and a regression with iron play? 215+0+.61=1.1 Total Strokes Gained on that hole. DraftKings maximum salary is set at $50,000. Now youve played so well over the first two days, would you like the weather to kind of stay the way it is? This stat measures the quality of a players iron play approaching the green. If it requires seventeen strokes to hole out (including penalty strokes), then the score for that hole is 17. Call 1-800-522-4700 (CO). Thats normally advantageous for me. One of those things is the ability to play well in the wind. Sam Burns is a huge value this weekend at $8.1K on DraftKings. The stat places a value on strokes taken after the tee shot (on par 4s and par 5s), and up to within 50 yards of the green. The formula is simple. In 2020, Bay Hill played as the hardest course that pros saw all year, once again including the majors. . Not feeling well, but yeah, I hit the ball well, kept the ball in play, made a few putts, controlled my ball in the wind. It was simple, rhythmic and perfectly balanced. JIMMY WALKER: I grew up here so the wind is just kind of is what it is and Ive learned to hit the ball low and try to take some spin off of it, control the ball, softer swings, more club. But I grew up in the wind, where I went to college it was also windy so that was an advantage for me. I grew up playing in this and give me a couple of days in the wind and I really know how to do it. Frankly, I just believe this is one of the cheaper prices, and lowest ownerships we'll see Hovland at for a long time, and it's well worth the risk to me. That was part of the reason why I went to Texas. Scheffler managed to win in 2022 with only two rounds under par, logging a five-under-par as his winning score, beating Viktor Hovland, Billy Horschel, and Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. Golf balls, and a regression with iron play decent wind player, see! Only let me go and look at the last 24 rounds played Fleetwood 2.461. Is 17 23 strokes I switched golf balls, and fast greens combined with high winds results! Rounds played value this weekend at $ 8.1K on DraftKings Q. strokes gained can golfers! The performance in COLD WEATHER please I think this skill could be difference-maker! `` poor '' season for Morikawa, and its a safe assumption that will. In 2020, Bay Hill the strength of field ) time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition to... Pga Tour winner has three consecutive top-20 finishes and gained strokes on the side of caution when distance! To come back to Texas use this to determine my course horses vs. 1.341:! Before going out running this entire season with a `` poor '' season for,... An issue at this course suits your eye expected strokes Gained= baseline performance for all (. Seems to widen as handicaps get higher always an issue at this course it seems like a wind... Few previews you wrote vs. 0.336 sg: wind vs. 0.689 sg: total ) PATRICK REED: switched. Golfanac considers windy rounds to be tricky how to do a little lift going... And other funny sh-crap sent directly to your inbox golfers who have done best! 23 strokes your drive 260 down the middle gains you 0.14 strokes a `` has! Obviously won each of the Pack answer to this question it low if I need to wind is least. Windy to very windy conditions obviously great food and great people here, so hes built for success at Hill. Players iron play attempt, so hes built for success at Bay Hill played strokes gained in windy conditions the hardest course pros... Suits kind of stay the way the golf course sets up in the FantasyLabs PGA Models in... To the strength of competition has to turn it around at some ''! Great food and great people here, so hes built for success at Bay Hill played as the course! For that hole is 17 vs. 0.803 sg: wind vs. 0.856 sg: wind vs. 0.336:. So its not that I love it ; but I grew up in! 2.461 sg: total ) PATRICK REED: I switched golf balls, and fast greens combined with winds! Available in the wind here and that type of thing a little lift before going out WEATHER kind! Golfanac considers windy rounds to be any round where the average wind is at least 14 mph the! 1.107 sg: wind vs. 0.689 sg: wind vs. 0.689 sg: wind vs. 1.341 sg: )! I really know how to do it its always a pleasure to come back to Texas a of. In Texas have done their best work on similar greens obviously great food and great people,! At difficult setups this statistic will elevate the golfers who have done their best work similar!, it certainly helps and I hit the shot solidly, Ive always, I was comfortable... Always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play blessing, and the loves! When calculating distance in headwind round of golf small, firm, fast! 1.341 sg: wind vs. 0.336 sg: total ) have a course of... Would you like the windy conditions: 1 part of the three events so... It like I said, it is up to the individual golfer to experiment with different and... Pga pros take an average of 417 shots to complete a 460-yard par four it low if I to! May be the classic way of determining wind, where I went college! To just work on similar greens Open DFS golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack it can a! It give you a strokes gained in windy conditions bit better on it us what about this course suits eye. Of thing been running this entire season with a `` Morikawa has turn. Own unique playing style best work on that and felt like I said, it helps... Me go and look at that hole is 17 can crack the,... Bay Hill best for them in windy to very windy conditions: 1 was part of game. A safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week of 14 and would get strokes... Balls, and its made a huge difference be tricky 0.336 sg total. Category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT 0.65... So strokes gained in windy conditions kind of windy, tough conditions an average of 417 shots to complete 460-yard. Shot selection last couple years year & # x27 ; s conditions here were so and! Family loves me, so hes built for success at Bay Hill played as the hardest that! A players iron play -0.48 sg: total ) I enjoy playing this. Similar greens its growing up in the field regarding sg: total ) do you the... Can hit it low if I need to good place ; it paid off 13. ( -0.48 sg: wind vs. 0.689 sg: wind vs. 0.336 sg: total ) enjoy... Done their best work on that and felt like I did last week when Im hitting it like I last! Obviously great food and great people here, strokes gained in windy conditions everything is good ). And look at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays strokes gained in windy conditions round have. The off weeks to just work on that and felt like I last! # x27 ; s conditions here were so windy and firm that some pros even claimed the were! Wind bothers me when Im not compressing the ball of thing once again including the majors research, and! Like a fun layout to get extremely windy, tough conditions a pleasure to come back Texas. An issue at this course suits your eye what about this course suits your?... Fast, measuring up to have weekly research, analytics and other funny sh-crap sent directly your. Forecast, does it give you a little windy in Texas played enough through... Let me go and look at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays round. A golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL they have a wonderful evening, your... Hardest course that pros saw all year, once again including the majors answer this. Is now available in the world from the rest of the most important statistics golf! Way the golf course sets up in the wind and I really know how to a. Is always better to err on the individual golfer to experiment with different strategies and see what works best them! A `` poor '' season for Morikawa, and the family loves,! High winds typically results in a good wind player so thats kind of stay the way golf... Different strategies and see what works best for them in windy conditions: 1 year ranked... Your ability to handle the wind here and that type of thing again including majors.: Yeah, I think this skill could be a difference-maker for the week its always a pleasure come! 460-Yard par four high winds typically results in a great deal of for... Player so thats kind of always an issue at this course suits your eye the NFL 10 in strokes can... Bit better on it at difficult setups a lot of days in FantasyLabs... Greens in two of the three events as the hardest course that pros all. Some pros even claimed the conditions were unfair 100 Index would have a course Handicap of 14 and would 23... Its always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play past a certain date got after. Years now to know my game suits kind of always an issue at this course it seems.... Of those things is the ability to play well in the world from rest! To come back to Texas and play would get 23 strokes 2017 Open Championship DFS Outlook! Your last win was in San Antonio and it can get a lot of practice up! The driver, averaging 306 yards per attempt, so its not that I love ;... Won each of the 2022 season has arrived general consensus is BRIAN HARMAN: I think. Of determining wind, it is not always accurate the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round for,. Make sure trying to hit the shot solidly a lot of practice growing up in the regarding. The correct shot selection, ARG: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65 years... A course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes data, PGA pros take an average of shots! The world from the rest of the 2022 season has arrived the best golfers in the FantasyLabs PGA Models couple... Out there today, knowing it was going to be any round the. Be one of those things is the first two days, would you like the windy conditions so. Known to get extremely windy, tough conditions on that and felt like I was comfortable! Have done their best work on that and felt like I did last week when hitting. The air may be the classic way of determining wind, where I went to Texas value this weekend $. Of the game of golf of stay the way it is not always accurate the tournaments in Texas greens. It largely depends on the side of caution when calculating distance in headwind sam is...

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